Currency strength,
as institutions see it
Eight major currencies. Four timeframes. BIS 2025 volume-weighted. XGBoost conviction scoring. Updated every H1 bar from a live MT5 feed — the methodology made real.
From concept to running system
How do institutions measure currency strength? Not equally — volume-weighted across timeframes. The BIS 2025 data provides the weighting. Four timeframes provide the horizon.
Read Article #2 →WA-RSI divergence identifies pairs. XGBoost trained on 122,640 bars converts that divergence into a calibrated conviction score. Not every signal is worth acting on.
Read Article #3 →The methodology is live. CoreFX Engine EA computes WA-RSI from your broker feed. CoreFX ML scores conviction. The signals above update every H1 bar.
You are hereHow to read the dashboard
The WA-RSI scale runs from 0 to 100. 50 is neutral — neither strength nor weakness. The further a currency is from 50, the stronger the directional signal.
Each bar represents a currency's Weighted Average RSI across H1, H4, D1 and W1 timeframes, scaled by its BIS 2025 global FX turnover share. Green bars above 50 indicate strength. Red bars below 50 indicate weakness. Bars near 50 are neutral — no clear bias.
Hovering a currency bar shows the individual RSI reading on each of the four timeframes (H1, H4, D1, W1) and the currency's BIS weight. When all four timeframes align in the same direction, the signal has the highest structural conviction.
The XGBoost model produces a calibrated probability that the currency pair will move in the indicated direction over the next H1 bar. Only pairs above the per-currency conviction threshold are shown. Higher conviction indicates stronger model agreement across the ensemble.
Top conviction pairs are derived by pairing the strongest currency against the weakest where both legs have directional ML signals. The pair conviction score is the minimum of both legs — conservative by design. Only signals above threshold are shown.
What drives the numbers
The calculation behind every bar and every signal.
Four timeframes, each carrying a different analytical role. The weekly chart dominates — it captures the structural trend that institutional desks position around.
(H1 × 0.30) + (H4 × 0.35) + (D1 × 0.20) + (W1 × 0.15)
scaled by BIS 2025 volume weight, normalised across 8 currencies
Not all currencies trade with equal weight. The BIS Triennial Survey 2025 provides the actual global FX turnover share for each currency — the signal is weighted accordingly.
BIS shares sum above 200% as each transaction involves two currencies.